A cold front moving through the Ohio Valley and into the Appalachians has the potential to produce heavy rain and severe thunderstorms Monday for areas that simply do not need any more wet weather.
On Monday, the National Weather Service issued Flood Alerts for the same cities that experienced catastrophic flooding.
Last week, a slow-moving front created multiple rounds of showers and storms that led to deadly flash flooding across Kentucky.
Search-and-recovery efforts are still underway, and the Kentucky governor said the scope of the damage is similar to what Mayfield experienced from an EF-4 tornado in December 2021.
Many areas saw more than a half-foot of rain, leading to a surplus of precipitation for both July and the year as a whole.
On Monday, an area from central and southern Ohio southwestward into Kentucky and southern Indiana could see scattered severe thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening.
In addition to localized heavy rainfall, the greatest threat from the storms will be damaging wind gusts and hail.
Unlike the last cold front that lingered for days, this storm system is expected to push out of the region by late Tuesday, giving way to a blast of early-August heat.
Despite the fast-moving nature of this weather system, some storms will move along rather sluggishly and will be capable of producing rainfall rates of 1 to 2 inches per hour.
If an area impacted by last week's flood disaster finds itself under a slow-moving storm, additional flash flooding will be likely, especially along already-swollen creeks and streams.
Computer forecast models show most of the region could pick up an inch or two of additional rainfall over the next couple of days.
Rain totals are not expected to be anywhere near what the region saw during the historic event last week, but any additional rainfall could lead to further flooding.
Creeks and rivers are still high, and data from the National Weather Service show it would take several more days without any additional rainfall to see waterways drop below flood status.
"Within the last week or so, 8 to about 12 inches of rain has fallen, and that is really an indication of just all of the flooding that we've seen here over the past couple of days," said FOX Weather meteorologist Jason Frazer.
A ridge of high pressure will build into the waterlogged region by midweek, which will help decrease rain chances and allow time to dry out.
The ridge will help build the heat, with temperatures expected to reach the 90s on Wednesday.
The combination of the humidity and heat will make areas in the disaster zones feel like it's closer to 100 degrees.
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