Tropical disturbance fizzles as it moves into South Texas

The NHC does not expect the tropical disturbance to develop.

A tropical disturbance that forecasts had been watching for potential development is no longer a threat.

The system was dubbed Potential Tropical Cyclone Four by the National Hurricane Center. A PTC classification is simply a convention used by the NHC to identify a disturbed area of weather that has the potential to impact land as an organized tropical cyclone.

WHAT IS A POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE?

The greatest impact was expected to be the potential of flooding downpours, for a region that is still drying out from a previous wet weather event. A tropical disturbance last weekend dropped between 3 and 6 inches of rain in the Rio Grande Valley.

The FOX Forecast Center said the rainfall amounts will be light over southern parts of the Lone Star State, with slightly higher amounts in northern Mexico.

The chance of scattered showers and storms associated with the disturbance is expected to diminish by Monday as the system loses any influence from the warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico.

Potential Rainfall
(FOX Weather)


 

Residents near the Texas-Mexico border took advantage of the dry skies on Saturday morning to fill sandbags ahead of the potential flooding.

In addition to heavy rain, the disturbance was also expected to increase seas and cause rough surf along beaches.

7 FACTS YOU SHOULD KNOW ABOUT FLASH FLOODS

The NWS warns the combination of gusty winds and choppy waters is creating a strong rip current risk. Swimmers are encouraged to stay out of the water until the conditions subside.

It's estimated around 100 people die each year from rip currents. If you are caught in a current, it is advised you don’t try to swim against the force outgoing water. Instead, swim parallel to the shoreline until out of the rip current, and then you can safely head back to towards land.

HOW TO WATCH FOX WEATHER ON TV

The National Hurricane Center is tracking Potential Tropical Cyclone Four.
(FOX Weather)


 

PEAK OF ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON BEGINS IN AUGUST

2022 Atlantic hurricane season off to slow start

The next Atlantic system to become a tropical storm with winds of at least 40 mph will earn the name "Danielle", but we've already passed the date by which the "D" storm would form in an average season (Aug. 15).

In fact, there hasn't been a named storm in the Atlantic Basin since Tropical Storm Colin dissipated in the early-morning hours of July 3. That's a stretch of 46 days as of Friday, which is tied for the third-longest stretch on record without a named storm in the Atlantic during hurricane season.

The longest stretches on record without a named storm in the Atlantic Basin during hurricane season.
(FOX Weather)


 

Another benchmark that's been missed in 2022 is the average date of the Atlantic's first hurricane (Aug. 11).

As long as the current lull in tropical activity continues, more benchmarks are in danger of falling.

HURRICANE SEASON 2022 RUNNING BEHIND SCHEDULE: HERE ARE THE IMPORTANT BENCHMARKS TO WATCH FOR

Aug. 22 is the typical date the "E" storm forms, and Aug. 26 is usually when the second hurricane of the season develops, but both dates are in jeopardy of being missed.

As the season marches deeper into August and enters the first month of meteorological fall, these benchmarks become more critical as hurricane season nears the climatological peak of activity on Sept. 10.

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