11:00 A.M. UPDATE: Tropical Depression Three has formed in the Atlantic. Check here for the latest on Tropical Depression Three.
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is monitoring Invest 92L, which now has a near 100% chance of developing into a tropical depression and eventually Tropical Storm Bret, the second named tropical system of the 2023 Atlantic hurricane season.
The NHC is also closely monitoring Invest 93L, located just to the east of Invest 92L, which could develop later this week as well.
Invest 92L is expected to move westward at 15 to 20 mph as it continues to develop through the middle part of this week.
Invest 93L is an area of showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical disturbance that recently emerged off the coast of Africa.
Invest 92L's location and movement
According to the NHC, Invest 92L has a near 100% chance of developing into a tropical depression or tropical storm over the next 48 hours and a near 100% chance of developing over the next seven days.
An invest is simply a designation the NHC uses to identify an area of disturbed weather being investigated for possible tropical development.
When the disturbance organizes and forms a well-defined center, it will be known as Tropical Depression Three. Once the system's sustained winds reach at least 39 mph, it will earn the name Tropical Storm Bret.
It's too early to know for sure where Invest 92L is headed, but there is consensus in computer forecast models that the system will head west and be in the vicinity of the Caribbean islands by the end of this week.
As more data about the disturbance is collected over the coming days, the forecast will come into better focus.
NHC is monitoring Invest 93L in eastern Atlantic
The NHC is also monitoring Invest 93L, an area of showers and thunderstorms located several hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands in the eastern tropical Atlantic.
"Further development of this system is possible, and a tropical depression could form within the next few days while the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic," the NHC said on Monday morning.
Invest 93L has a 30% chance of developing into a tropical depression or tropical storm over the next 48 hours and a 40% chance of developing over the next seven days.
Hurricane season officially began on June 1. The first named storm doesn’t typically form until June 20, according to the NHC.
Arlene, the first named storm of the 2023 Atlantic hurricane season, formed on June 2.