Florida braces for heavy rain, storms ahead of 4th of July holiday as tropical trouble looms off Southeast
Regardless of tropical development, Florida is expected to see flooding rain and thunderstorms through at least the end of the upcoming weekend.
Flooding rain, thunderstorms threaten Florida over Fourth of July holiday
The National Hurricane Center is monitoring an area of possible tropical development off the Southeast coast, with Florida bracing for flooding rain and thunderstorms. FOX Weather Meteorologists Stephen Morgan and Britta Merwin have the latest.
TAMPA, Fla. – The Fourth of July holiday is quickly approaching, but millions of people in Florida and the Southeast are keeping a close eye on potential tropical development that could halt outdoor and beach plans across the region.
Regardless of tropical development, Florida is expected to see flooding rain and thunderstorms through at least the end of the upcoming weekend.
MILLIONS OF 4TH OF JULY TRAVELERS FACE POTENTIAL STORM-RELATED DELAYS ACROSS US
This graphic shows the tropical development chances off the Southeast coast over the next week.
(FOX Weather)
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) said a frontal boundary is expected to stall and weaken off the southeastern U.S. coast later this week, and an area of low pressure could then possibly develop by the weekend over the Atlantic waters, over Florida or the eastern Gulf.
After that, the NHC said some gradual tropical or subtropical development could occur as the system slowly moves over the area. The NHC is giving the system a low chance of developing over the next week.
Florida's 4th of July holiday outdoor, beach plans in jeopardy
This fraphic shows the forecast rain totals in the Southeast and Florida through Sunday, July 6, 2025.
(FOX Weather)
As a stalling cold front weakens over Florida in the coming days, torrential rain and thunderstorms are likely across the Florida Peninsula through the end of the upcoming weekend.
Several inches of rain could fall from the Cedar Key area southward through Sarasota, as well as in the Orlando area.
Heavy rain is also likely to have an impact on holiday weekend plans on the Atlantic coast of Florida, from around the Daytona Beach area through Cocoa Beach and Melbourne on the Space Coast and into cities like West Palm Beach, Fort Lauderdale and Miami.
DOWNLOAD THE FREE FOX WEATHER APP
This graphic shows the flood chance in Florida on Thursday, July 3, 2025.
(FOX Weather)
Flood concerns are also on the rise as the state braces for tropical downpours.
NOAA's Weather Prediction Center placed a large portion of Florida in a Level 1 out of 4 flash flood threat on Thursday. However, a Level 2 threat was highlighted along the Gulf Coast of Florida from Perry in the Big Bend to the Tampa, St. Petersburg and Sarasota areas.