NASA aims to put astronauts back on the moon by 2028

Here’s a look at how prediction markets are sizing up NASA’s timeline for landing astronauts on the moon.

It has been more than 50 years since Eugene Cernan and Harrison "Jack" Schmitt walked on the moon, and NASA is now on an ambitious timeline to return astronauts to the lunar surface.

Humanity has not returned to the moon since the successful Apollo 17 mission, but NASA’s Artemis program is ushering in a new era of lunar exploration.

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Building on the success of Artemis I and Artemis II, NASA has selected the astronauts for Artemis III — a critical test mission before Artemis IV, the mission aiming to send astronauts back to the lunar surface for the first time in more than half a century.

NASA continues to target 2028 for the first Artemis lunar landing, a timeline it has maintained since mid 2025.

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Here’s a look at how prediction markets are sizing up NASA’s timeline for landing astronauts on the moon.

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With Artemis III planned as a demonstration mission in low-Earth orbit, NASA will evaluate one or both commercial human landing systems being developed by SpaceX and Blue Origin — Starship and Blue Moon — ahead of the next lunar landing attempt.

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The mission will carry astronauts aboard NASA’s Orion spacecraft and test the critical rendezvous and docking operations between Orion and the commercial landers. The systems will be needed to carry astronauts from lunar orbit to the moon’s surface during Artemis IV.

NASA hopes Artemis IV will mark the first step in a long-term return to the moon, helping lay the groundwork for sustained lunar exploration and future missions deeper into space.

Artemis V, a second lunar surface mission planned for 2028, would follow Artemis IV as NASA aims to establish a cadence of one moon mission per year.

Exactly when astronauts will return to the moon remains uncertain, but NASA’s push to the lunar surface is a top priority.

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The agency hopes the mission will mark the beginning of a sustained human presence on and around the moon, and serve as a stepping stone for future exploration deeper into space.

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