Odds increase that Tropical Storm Gabrielle could form in Atlantic this week
Later this week, the system will move into a more favorable environment, where it will likely develop into at least a tropical depression, and maybe even Tropical Storm Gabrielle. Some computer forecast models show the system strengthening into a hurricane.
Tropical depression or Tropical Storm Gabrielle likely to form in Atlantic later this week
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is monitoring a tropical disturbance in the Atlantic that is likely to develop into a tropical depression or Tropical Storm Gabrielle later this week. FOX Weather Meteorologists Britta Merwin and Hayley Meier break down the latest on Sept. 15, 2025.
MIAMI – The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is monitoring a tropical wave swirling across the central tropical Atlantic that now has high odds of developing into a tropical depression or Tropical Storm Gabrielle later this week.
The FOX Forecast Center said the large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms is tied to a tropical disturbance south of the Cabo Verde Islands off the coast of Africa.
(FOX Weather)
Currently, the entire system is poorly organized and is moving through an area with dry, dusty Saharan air.
Due to that, the system likely won’t develop into a tropical depression for at least a few more days.
Later this week, the system will move into a more favorable environment, where it will likely develop into at least a tropical depression, and maybe even Tropical Storm Gabrielle.
And some computer forecast models show the system strengthening into a hurricane.
Some models show the system curving to the north and into the open central Atlantic, keeping it away from land.
Other models show it taking a path closer to the Caribbean and eventually toward Bermuda.
(FOX Weather)
Currently, there’s no direct threat to Puerto Rico or nearby islands. However, since the system hasn’t fully formed yet, those forecasts can still change.
Beyond that, the FOX Forecast Center said there are hints of a jet stream that could act as a protective shield for the U.S. East Coast by steering the system safely northward, but forecast confidence is low at this point.