Strong winds, dry air expand fire threat from the Plains into the Rockies as Southeast risk eases

The most critical conditions are expected in central and southeastern Wyoming, where conditions are favorable for fast-moving grass fires.

After elevated fire danger persisted across parts of the Plains Sunday and through the night, the threat is now expanding across the Intermountain West and High Plains on Monday.

Driven by a combination of strong winds, very dry air, and an ongoing lack of moisture, the most critical conditions are expected in central and southeastern Wyoming.

APRIL WEATHER OUTLOOK: SEVERE STORMS TARGET MILLIONS AS SPRING TEMPERATURE WARMUP FINALLY NEARS

The atmosphere across the eastern half of the country has undergone a harsh correction, trading record-breaking heat for a bone-dry arctic chill in less than 48 hours. 

As temperatures plummeted by as much as 30 degrees, a dangerous combination of biting winds and plummeting humidity has turned the landscape into a tinderbox.

Fire current and wind gusts
(FOX Weather)


 

The FOX Forecast Center said a weakening dome of high pressure is setting up a strong west-to-east flow, which will help drive winds around 20–30 mph. 

At the same time, humidity levels are expected to drop sharply, down into the 15% to 20% range. 

Fire Weather Alerts for Monday
(FOX Weather)


 

With that said, this combination of dry air and gusty winds is enough to support rapid fire growth if anything starts, and conditions are favorable for fast-moving grass fires.

NEW JERSEY MAN FACES ARSON CHARGES IN CONNECTION WITH JONES ROAD WILDFIRE THAT SCORCHED OVER 15K ACRES

However, the FOX Forecast Center said the fire risk is not limited to Wyoming. 

A broad area of dry, downslope winds stretching across Colorado, Kansas, and the Oklahoma and Texas Panhandles will be enhanced by a low pressure developing over the Northern Plains. 

While winds may be weaker than farther north, extremely dry air will still allow fires to start and spread quickly, with humidity in some areas dropping as low as 10%.

Fire Weather Alerts
(FOX Weather)


 

Arizona and western New Mexico will also be monitored for dry thunderstorms, which can produce lightning without rain at the surface, creating a risk for fires. 

This all comes on the heels of a heightened weekend, as at one point, nearly the entire Southeast was under some form of fire weather alert on Saturday and the elevated fire risks continued across the Plains on Sunday.

The most dangerous areas remained in parts of Wyoming, Nebraska and Utah, where strong, gusty winds continued to pose a serious risk.

MIDWEST, OHIO VALLEY PELTED BY DAMAGING HAIL AND VICIOUS WIND GUSTS AS BRIEF TEMPERATURE PLUNGE SPREADS EAST 

Originating from polar regions, the cooler air mass is exceptionally dry, causing humidity to drop into the teens across a large portion of the country. While the dry air is significant on its own, the combination of the dryness with strong winds creates a dangerous potential for the spread of wildfire.

The winds are driven by an area of high pressure building behind the cold front.

HISTORIC HEAT WAVE EXPANDS INTO CENTRAL US AFTER WEEKS OF RECORD HEAT IN THE SOUTHWEST

On Saturday, this seasonably strong high settled over the southern Great Lakes, and the pressure gradient tightened over a relatively short distance, generating stiff breezes, causing the fire threat to intensify across the Southeast and the Plains.

This prompted Fire Weather Warnings for nearly 50 million people across nearly 20 states.

In the Southeast, humidity dropped as low as 20%, especially across parts of South Carolina, southern Georgia and north Florida. Sustained winds reached 10 to 20 mph with higher gusts.

Fire Weather Warnings spanned from western North Carolina through Louisiana, including parts of the Florida panhandle, with a Fire Weather Watch issued for parts of east Texas.

LARGEST WILDFIRE IN NEBRASKA HISTORY LEAVES 1 DEAD, SCORCHES OVER 640,000 ACRES AS CONDITIONS BEGIN TO EASE

In Nebraska, several wildfires continue to burn near the historic Morrill Fire.

HOW TO WATCH FOX WEATHER

The Minor Fire, which has burned 14,000 acres and is about 30% contained, and the Ashby Fire, which has burned just over 36,000 acres and is 51% contained, could grow again on Sunday as locally stronger winds move through the area.

Some forecasts indicate gusts up to 30 mph, which may further complicate containment efforts.

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