Area off Mexico likely to develop into tropical depression this weekend

If the disturbance becomes a tropical depression and then continues to strengthen, it will become a tropical storm and be named Barbara.

The chance of development for an area to watch off the southern coast of Mexico continues to grow, and a tropical depression is likely to form in the Eastern Pacific this weekend.

Tropical activity has been increasing in the basin since the start of the hurricane season on May 15. Tropical Storm Alvin formed and quickly dissipated last week.

The storm’s remnants then brought flooding rain and thunderstorms to the Desert Southwest.

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According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC), a broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles off the southern coast of Mexico is continuing to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms.

Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for the gradual development of the system, and the NHC says a tropical depression is likely to form this weekend as it moves west or west-northwest at around 10 mph.

Right now, the NHC is giving the system a low chance of developing over the next two days but a high chance of developing over the next week.

If the disturbance becomes a tropical depression and then continues to strengthen, it will become a tropical storm and be named Barbara.