Father's Day weekend storm threat could douse grilling plans for millions in mid-Atlantic

The potential isolated flooding is not expected to bring the dramatic and deadly scenes that have unfolded this week in states such as Arkansas, Texas and Louisiana. However, the system will deliver heavy, intermittent rain and high humidity.

WILMINGTON, Va. – As Father's Day weekend begins, much of the mid-Atlantic region is bracing for a significant weather system that could dampen any outdoor plans. 

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The potential isolated flooding is not expected to bring the dramatic and deadly scenes that have unfolded this week in states such as Arkansas, Texas and Louisiana. However, the system will deliver heavy, intermittent rain and high humidity.

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The FOX Forecast Center is pinpointing the mid-Atlantic as a key area of concern, with an isolated flood threat highlighted for Virginia.

"That's really the only spot where we need to up urgency," said FOX Weather Meteorologist Britta Merwin. She added that for many, the weekend will be inconvenient rather than a complete washout in any one location. However, heavy rain is possible in any thunderstorms that do develop. 

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Rain totals are expected to reach a widespread 1-2 inches from Pennsylvania down through Georgia, with locally higher amounts possible in stronger downpours.

Dew points will be high, reaching into the 60s and 70s south of this boundary on both Saturday and Sunday. With daytime heating and highs reaching into the 80s and 90s, storm energy will build across the eastern U.S., supporting scattered afternoon thunderstorms. A few storms may become severe, posing threats of hail and damaging wind.

Flash flooding will be an isolated concern in areas where storms repeatedly track over the same areas.

Areas highlighted for the potential of flash flooding on Saturday and Sunday go from Pennsylvania to Virginia.

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Syracuse, New York, is on track to record its 30th consecutive rainy weekend. In Burlington, Vermont, this weekend will mark 26 weekends in a row with rain. The last dry weekend there was December 14-15, 2024, according to the FOX Forecast Center.

The FOX Forecast Center said the precipitation outlook keeps most of the East above average for precipitation through late June.