Tropical disturbance in Caribbean could bring dangerous flooding to Central America
The NHC says this area has a 10% chance of development within 5 days
The tropical disturbance we’ve been following across Central America still has a slight chance to briefly organize a circulation as it tracks over the northwestern Caribbean Sea on Friday. The biggest threat, however, is significant and dangerous flooding over Honduras, Belize and parts of southeastern Mexico and northern Guatemala.
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The Caribbean disturbance has been rotating around the north side of a broad low-pressure area that straddles Central America and extends into the Eastern Pacific.
A tropical storm has formed in the pocket of the low that is over the Eastern Pacific. The National Hurricane Center is forecasting it to meander offshore before strengthening into a tropical storm and eventually moving away from land.
The developing Eastern Pacific system became the dominant system within the broad low, which is part of the reason the Caribbean system has not developed.
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Otherwise, nothing is expected to develop in the Atlantic Basin into next week, at least. The tropics are dominated by Saharan dust and dry air.