Unprecedented January tropical disturbance possible in Eastern Pacific for first time in recorded history
According to the FOX Forecast Center, no tropical development of any kind has ever been noted in the month of January in the Eastern Pacific basin.
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MIAMI, Fla. – From raging winter storms to tracking tropical weather in the U.S., experts are turning their attention to the tropics over the next few days for increased activity.
This is typically a time in which the tropics take a nap during the winter months, so it is rare to see potential activity develop at this point in January.
According to the FOX Forecast Center, no tropical development of any kind has ever been noted in the month of January in the Eastern Pacific basin. The earliest recorded tropical system was Tropical Depression One-E that developed in late April 2020.
An area of low pressure is forecast to develop by Thursday, as there is low wind shear due to the large-scale ridge of high pressure over the West Coast, where just enough activity could cause storms to develop.
(FOX Weather)
According to the National Weather Service, wind shear is the change in wind speed and/or direction with height.
"The Exclusive FOX Weather Tropical threat product shows possible development as early as Saturday, closer to the Baja of California Western Coast," said a statement from the FOX Forecast Center.
Luckily, there is no immediate threat to land with this system, and it is not expected to develop over the next seven days, but that could change.
WHAT'S THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN A TROPICAL DEPRESSION, TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE?
A potential tropical cyclone is designated by the NHC so that they can issue routine advisories on a system that has not yet developed into a tropical depression or tropical storm but brings a threat of 39-plus-mph winds to land within 72 hours.
This follows an active 2025 hurricane season in the Eastern Pacific Ocean, which produced 18 named storms and 10 hurricanes, three of which were major (Category 3+) hurricanes on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.
Scientist recalls harrowing flights into the monstrous Category 5 Hurricane Melissa
Dr. Andy Hazelton was onboard five flights with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Hurricane Hunters into Hurricane Melissa, calling the storm that was clocked 250 mph winds at flight height "another level."
Meanwhile, FOX Weather Hurricane Specialist Bryan Norcross described the Atlantic hurricane season as "unusual."
The 2025 season produced 13 named storms, with five hurricanes and four of which were rated Category 3 or higher.
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Hurricanes Erin and Humberto reached wind speeds of 160 mph in August and September. Hurricane Melissa rounded out the season as a deadly Category 5 hurricane in Jamaica with winds of 185 mph.
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No hurricanes made landfall in the U.S. this season, a rare occurrence in recent history.
This satellite image shows Hurricane Melissa just south of Jamaica on the morning of Tuesday, Oct. 28, 2025.
(NOAA)
The last hurricane season without a U.S. landfalling hurricane was a decade ago in 2015.
Check back for updates on this developing story.