Hurricane Rachel aims to become major hurricane as its moisture begins to fuel dangerous US flood threat

Hurricane Rachel could become the latest major hurricane in the Pacific which has been supercharged with tropical activity by an impending Super El Niño.

THE TAKEAWAY

  • Hurricane Rachel is forecast to rapidly strengthen and could become the latest major hurricane in the Pacific.
  • Moisture from Hurricane Rachel and the remnants of Polo are expected to fuel a weeklong flood threat across the Central U.S.
  • Rachel became the 20th named storm in the Central and Eastern Pacific this season as a strengthening El Niño supercharges the basins.

Hurricane Rachel could become the latest major hurricane in the Pacific, according to the National Hurricane Center (NHC), as its moisture is pulled up behind the remnants of Polo to fuel a dangerous flood threat across much of the Central U.S.

Rachel is currently a Category 1 storm, with maximum sustained winds of 85 mph, about 225 miles southwest of Cabo Corrientes, Mexico. It is forecast to rapidly strengthen through the day on Wednesday.

OVER 150M FACE DANGEROUS, WEEKLONG FLOOD THREAT ACROSS 30+ STATES FUELED BY POWERFUL PACIFIC TROPICAL SYSTEMS

Moisture from Rachel to fuel midweek flood threat across Central U.S.
(FOX Weather)


 

A large dip in the jet stream is beginning to pull moisture from Rachel across the Central U.S., bringing heavy rain. This same pattern ushered the remnants of Polo across the Southwest on Tuesday after it made landfall in Baja California as a Category 2 hurricane.

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Meanwhile, Rachel is expected to slowly parallel the Mexican coast as it strengthens before turning west into the open Pacific sometime later this week, the NHC said.

Rachel became the 20th named storm and 10th hurricane in the Central and Eastern Pacific this season as a strengthening El Niño supercharges the basins.

Rachel forecast track
(FOX Weather)


 

Polo's remnants fuel U.S. flood threat after becoming second-strongest hurricane ever recorded in Eastern Pacific

Hurricane Polo made landfall as a Category 2 storm on Baja California Sur, Mexico, late Monday, bringing damaging wind gusts and flooding to the region. The storm made a second landfall as a hurricane in mainland Mexico later on Tuesday after tracking over the Gulf of California.

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Hurricane landfalls on Baja California are quite rare. The last was Norma in October 2023.

Polo's remnants quickly moved along the jet stream into the U.S. Southwest, triggering more flash flooding.

Polo became only the 10th remnant tropical storm or hurricane to survive the trip over mountains to affect the U.S. since 1950.

Hurricane Polo reached monster Category 5 strength three times over the course of its development, with peak winds of 180 mph last week.

HURRICANE POLO EXPLODES INTO ONE OF PACIFIC’S STRONGEST HURRICANES EVER

Polo also entered the record books as the second-most intense hurricane by central pressure, at 892 millibars, behind Hurricane Patricia's 872 millibars in 2015.

Tropical Depression Nineteen-E forms in open Pacific

A new area to watch for tropical development was added on Tuesday afternoon right behind Rachel and is being given medium odds by the NHC of developing over the next seven days.

Meanwhile, Tropical Depression Nineteen-E formed in the open Pacific Tuesday morning but is expected to be short-lived.

CALIFORNIA DECLARES STATE OF EMERGENCY AS POTENTIALLY HISTORIC SUPER EL NIÑO LOOMS

The overview of the activity in the Pacific Basin.
(FOX Weather)


 

"The depression could become a tropical storm later today before weakening on Wednesday," the NHC said Tuesday. "The system is likely to degenerate into a post-tropical cyclone by late Thursday."

If Nineteen-E strengthens, it would be named Simon, the next name on the Eastern Pacific list. 

The Pacific has been supercharged with tropical activity as a rapidly strengthening El Niño warms waters across the basin, which has fueled the increased activity.

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