Thunderstorms make for sloppy track the day before the 151st Kentucky Derby

Currently, FOX Weather's exclusive Risk of Weather Impact forecast, ROWI, has been increased to "high" for the Derby itself.

CHURCHILL DOWNS, Ky. – Showers and thunderstorms moved through Kentucky a day before the 151st running of the Kentucky Derby, creating a sloppy track for America's premier horse-racing event.

The first leg of horse racing's coveted Triple Crown is set to start on Saturday at 6:57 p.m. ET, but celebrations have been ongoing for more than a week.

Showers and thunderstorms on Friday caused fans to run for shelter and a brief delay at Churchill Downs.

And Friday's afternoon rain was likely not the end of the threat of wet weather, with scattered showers in the forecast through the first half of the weekend.

A three-hour radar loop. Yellow shaded areas denotes a Severe Thunderstorm Watch while red shaded areas denote a Tornado Watch. 
Warning boxes are color coded as: Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in yellow, Tornado Warnings in red, Tornado Warnings with confirmed tornado in purple, Flash Flood Warnings in green, and Flash Flood Emergencies in pink.
(FOX Weather)


 

The last five derbies have been run on fast tracks. The last sloppy track was in 2019, when Country House won following the disqualification of Maximum Security for interference.

WHAT IS FOX WEATHER'S 'ROWI'?

Hourly forecast for Kentucky Derby.
(FOX Weather)


 

If storms are able to clear out a little earlier in the day, the ROWI would be reduced to "medium" but the damp conditions will very likely impact races earlier in the day.

This year's favorite is Journalism, a colt out of Kentucky who won the Santa Anita Derby earlier in April. Journalism is running out of the No. 8 post position.

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The storms come after places near Louisville tallied nearly a foot of rain since the beginning of April.

Louisville Mayor Craig Greenberg launched a multi-million-dollar cleanup effort to prepare the city for race festivities.

Greenberg said the early April flood event was the eighth-largest flood in the city's history. He credited flood walls and levees with preventing more damage and saving lives.

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