Will wet weather dampen Lollapalooza and how much rain will Chicago receive?

In light of such a large event and the lingering storm threat this weekend, prediction markets at Kalshi are looking ahead to how much more rain people will experience in the Windy City by the end of this month.

CHICAGO, Ill. – One of the world's most iconic four-day festivals is underway in Chicago, but nasty wet weather could dampen plans to enjoy the music.

The Lollapalooza festival runs from Thursday to Sunday, with music groups starting at 12 p.m. and ending at 10 p.m. each day.

In light of such a large event and the lingering storm threat this weekend, experts at Kalshi are looking ahead to how much more rain people will experience in the Windy City by the end of this month.

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Prediction markets at Kalshi are expecting a 99% chance that rain totals will exceed 6 inches by the end of July, along with a 21% chance of exceeding 7 inches.

To start the festival on Thursday, visitors at Grant Park will luck out with mostly sunny skies and dry weather, but that will quickly shift on Friday, when there is a chance of rain and thunderstorms through the evening, with a 90% chance of precipitation.

This comes as some areas in the Midwest could see rainfall totals of over 3 inches, with a Level 2 out of 4 flash flood threat across portions of the region, including Chicago.

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For Saturday, showers will start much earlier, mainly before 1 p.m., with wind gusts up to 25 mph, according to the National Weather Service. Despite this, the wet weather should fall off by the evening.

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Thankfully, for the final day, music lovers attending the festival can expect mostly sunny skies and pleasant temperatures in the mid-70s.

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